TARGET
Target Games are event-based prediction markets where users predict whether predefined market objectives will occur.
Unlike Flip Games, Target Games focus on:
volatility,
momentum,
price targets,
and competitive asset movement.
Moonshot (BTC)
Overview
Moonshot challenges players to predict whether Bitcoin can reach an aggressive target price within a limited time window.
Core Mechanic
At the beginning of each round:
a BTC target price is generated,
positioned several percentage points above the current market price.
Players choose:
YES
BTC reaches the target
NO
BTC fails to reach the target
Settlement
The round resolves based on whether BTC touches the target price before expiration.
Market Characteristics
Moonshot introduces:
asymmetrical risk/reward structures,
high-volatility opportunities,
and potentially large minority-side payouts.
Over / Under
Overview
Over / Under is a macro-directional prediction market based on Bitcoin’s daily closing price.
Gameplay
At the start of each cycle:
a target price is established.
Players predict whether BTC will close:
OVER
BTC closes above target
UNDER
BTC closes below target
Round Structure
Cycle Duration: 24 Hours
Betting closes 1 hour before settlement
Refund Rule
If BTC closes exactly at the target price:
the round is voided,
and all bets are refunded.
Hot or Not
Overview
Hot or Not is a volatility prediction game focused on whether BTC breaks outside a dynamically calculated volatility band.
Volatility System
A market-sensitive volatility range is generated around the opening price.
The threshold automatically adjusts according to current volatility conditions.
Player Choices
HOT
BTC breaks outside the band
NOT
BTC remains inside the band
Settlement Logic
Settlement is determined by:
highest round price,
lowest round price,
and volatility boundary interaction.
Race to X
Overview
Race to X is a competitive momentum game between Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Objective
Players predict which asset reaches:
+0.4% first from its opening price.
Player Choices
BTC
Bitcoin wins the race
ETH
Ethereum wins the race
Settlement
First asset to hit the target wins instantly
Maximum round duration: 60 minutes
Refund Conditions
If neither asset reaches the threshold:
the round is voided,
and all bets are refunded.
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