TARGET

Target Games are event-based prediction markets where users predict whether predefined market objectives will occur.

Unlike Flip Games, Target Games focus on:

• volatility,

• momentum,

• price targets,

• and competitive asset movement.

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Moonshot (BTC)

Overview

Moonshot challenges players to predict whether Bitcoin can reach an aggressive target price within a limited time window.

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Core Mechanic

At the beginning of each round:

• a BTC target price is generated,

• positioned several percentage points above the current market price.

Players choose:

Option	Meaning
YES	BTC reaches the target
NO	BTC fails to reach the target

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Settlement

The round resolves based on whether BTC touches the target price before expiration.

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Market Characteristics

Moonshot introduces:

• asymmetrical risk/reward structures,

• high-volatility opportunities,

• and potentially large minority-side payouts.

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Over / Under

Overview

Over / Under is a macro-directional prediction market based on Bitcoin’s daily closing price.

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Gameplay

At the start of each cycle:

• a target price is established.

Players predict whether BTC will close:

Option	Meaning
OVER	BTC closes above target
UNDER	BTC closes below target

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Round Structure

• Cycle Duration: 24 Hours

• Betting closes 1 hour before settlement

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Refund Rule

If BTC closes exactly at the target price:

• the round is voided,

• and all bets are refunded.

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Hot or Not

Overview

Hot or Not is a volatility prediction game focused on whether BTC breaks outside a dynamically calculated volatility band.

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Volatility System

A market-sensitive volatility range is generated around the opening price.

The threshold automatically adjusts according to current volatility conditions.

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Player Choices

Option	Meaning
HOT	BTC breaks outside the band
NOT	BTC remains inside the band

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Settlement Logic

Settlement is determined by:

• highest round price,

• lowest round price,

• and volatility boundary interaction.

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Race to X

Overview

Race to X is a competitive momentum game between Bitcoin and Ethereum.

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Objective

Players predict which asset reaches:

• +0.4% first from its opening price.

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Player Choices

Option	Prediction
BTC	Bitcoin wins the race
ETH	Ethereum wins the race

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Settlement

• First asset to hit the target wins instantly

• Maximum round duration: 60 minutes

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Refund Conditions

If neither asset reaches the threshold:

• the round is voided,

• and all bets are refunded.